Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Нил Фергюсон
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427
M. Drancourt et al., «Yersinia pestis Orientalis in Remains of Ancient Plague Patients», Emerging Infectious Diseases 13, no. 2 (2007), pp. 332–333; S. Haensch et al., «Distinct Clones of Yersinia pestis Caused the Black Death», PLOS Pathogens 6, no. 10 (2010), pp. 1–8.
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428
Manny Rincon Cruz, «Contagion, Borders, and Scale: Lessons from Network Science and History», Hoover History Working Group, June 24, 2020.
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429
Mark Bailey, «After the Black Death: Society, Economy and the Law in Fourteenth-Century England», James Ford Lectures, 2019, Lecture 1: «Old Problems, New Approaches», https://www.history.ox.ac.uk/event/the-james-ford-lectures-old-problems-new-approaches.
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430
Mark Bailey, «After the Black Death», Lecture 2: «Reaction and Regulation», https://www.history.ox.ac.uk/event/the-james-ford-lectures-reaction-and-regulation.
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431
N. C. Stenseth et al., «Plague Dynamics Are Driven by Climate Variation», PNAS 103, no. 35 (2006), pp. 13110-13115.
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432
Mark R. Welford and Brian H. Bossak, «Validation of Inverse Seasonal Peak Mortality in Medieval Plagues, Including the Black Death, in Comparison to Modern Yersinia pestis-Variant Diseases», PLOS One 4, no. 12 (2009), pp. 1–6.
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433
Stenseth et al., «Plague Dynamics».
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434
Stenseth et al., «Plague Dynamics». См. также: Ayyadurai et al., «Body Lice.»
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435
Ferguson, Square and the Tower, p. 431.
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Rincon Cruz, «Contagion, Borders, and Scale.» См. также: Mark Koyama, Remi Jedwab, and Noel Johnson, «Pandemics, Places, and Populations: Evidence from the Black Death», Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper No. 13523 (2019).
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437
Maarten Bosker, Steven Brakman, Harry Garretsen, Herman De Jong, and Marc Schramm, «Ports, Plagues and Politics: Explaining Italian City Growth 1300–1861», European Review of Economic History 12, no. 1 (2008), pp. 97-131, https://doi.org/10.1017/S1361491608002128.
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438
Ricardo A. Olea and George Christakos. «Duration of Urban Mortality for the 14th-century Black Death Epidemic», Human Biology 77, no. 3 (2005), pp. 291–303, https://doi.org/10.1353/hub.2005.0051.
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439
José M. Gómez and Miguel Verdú, «Network Theory May Explain the Vulnerability of Medieval Human Settlements to the Black Death Pandemic», Nature Scientific Reports, March 6, 2017, https://www.nature.com/articles/srep43467.
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440
Oscar Jorda, Sanjay R. Singh, and Alan M. Taylor, «Longer-Run Economic Consequences of Pandemics», Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 202009 (March 2020).
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441
Gregory Clark, A Farewell to Alms: A Brief Economic History of the World (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2007). См. также: Paul Schmelzing, «Eight Centuries of Global Real Rates, RG, and the ‘Suprasecular Decline’, 1311–2018» (PhD diss., Harvard University, August 2019).
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442
Mark Bailey, «A Mystery Within an Enigma: The Economy, 1355–1375», Ford Lectures 2019, Lecture 3, https://www.history.ox.ac.uk/event/the-james-ford-lecturesamystery-withinanenigma-the-economy-135575.
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443
Mark Bailey, «The End of Serfdom and the Rise of the West», Ford Lectures 2019, Lecture 6. https://www.history.ox.ac.uk/event/the-james-ford-lectures-the-endofserfdom-and-the-riseofthe-west.
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444
Mark Bailey, «Injustice and Revolt», Ford Lectures 2019, Lecture 4, https://www.history.ox.ac.uk/event/the-james-ford-lectures-injustice-and-revolt.
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445
Mark Bailey, «A New Equilibrium», Ford Lectures 2019, Lecture 5, https://www.history.ox.ac.uk/event/the-james-ford-lecturesanew-equilibriumc.1375–1400.
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446
Bailey, «The End of Serfdom», Ford Lectures 2019, Lecture 6.
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447
Alexander Lee, «What Machiavelli Knew About Pandemics», New Statesman, June 3, 2020, https://www.newstatesman.com/2020/06/what-machiavelli-knew-about-pandemics; Eleanor Russell and Martin Parker, «How Pandemics Past and Present Fuel the Rise of Mega-Corporations», The Conversation, June 3, 2020, https://theconversation.com/how-pandemics-past-and-present-fuel-the-riseofmega-corporations-137732; Paula Findlen, «What Would Boccaccio Say About COVID-19?», Boston Review, April 24, 2020, http://bostonreview.net/arts-society/paula-findlen-what-would-boccaccio-say-about-covid19.
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448
Richard Trexler, Public Life in Renaissance Florence (New York: Academic Press, 1980), p. 362.
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Norman Cohn, The Pursuit of the Millennium (New York: Oxford University Press, 1961 [1957]), pp. 132f.
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450
Nico Voigtlander and Hans-Joachim Voth, «Persecution Perpetuated: The Medieval Origins of Anti-Semitic Violence in Nazi Germany», Quarterly Journal of Economics 127, no. 3 (August 2012), pp. 1339–1392, https://www.jstor.org/stable/23251987.
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