Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Нил Фергюсон

David Pegg, Robert Booth, and David Conn, «Revealed: The Secret Report That Gave Ministers Warning of Care Home Coronavirus Crisis», Guardian, May 7, 2020, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/07/revealed-the-secret-report-that-gave-ministers-warningofcare-home-coronavirus-crisis; Richard Coker, «‘Harvesting’ Is a Terrible Word – But It’s What Has Happened in Britain’s Care Homes», Guardian, May 8, 2020, https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/may/08/care-home-residents-harvested-lefttodieukgovernment-herd-immunity; Robert Booth, «Coronavirus: Real Care Home Death Toll Double Official Figure, Study Says», Guardian, May 13, 2020, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/13/coronavirus-real-care-home-death-toll-double-official-figure-study-says. Cf. Tom McTague, «How the Pandemic Revealed Britain’s National Illness», Atlantic (August 2020), https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2020/08/why-britain-failed-coronavirus-pandemic/615166/.

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Gregg Girvan, «Nursing Homes and Assisted Living Facilities Account for 45 % of COVID-19 Deaths», Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity, May 7, 2020, https://freopp.org/the-covid19nursing-home-crisisbythe-numbers-3a47433c3f70. См. также: Jessica Silver-Greenberg and Amy Julia Harris, «‘They Just Dumped Him Like Trash’: Nursing Homes Evict Vulnerable Residents», New York Times, July 23, 2020, https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/21/business/nursing-homes-evictions-discharges-coronavirus.html, and Karen Yourish et al., «One-Third of All U. S. Coronavirus Deaths Are Nursing Home Residents or Workers», New York Times, May 11, 2020, https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/09/us/coronavirus-cases-nursing-homesus.html.

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Joaquin Sapien and Joe Sexton, «‘Fire Through Dry Grass’: Andrew Cuomo Saw COVID-19’s Threat to Nursing Homes. Then He Risked Adding to It», ProPublica, June 16, 2020, https://www.propublica.org/article/fire-through-dry-grass-andrew-cuomo-saw-covid19threattonursing-homes-thenherisked-addingtoit.

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Цифры на середину июня. Adelina Comas-Herrera, «Mortality Associated with COVID-19 Outbreaks in Care Homes: Early International Evidence», International Long Term Care Policy Network, June 26, 2020, https://ltccovid.org/wpcontent/uploads/2020/06/Mortality-associated-with-COVID-among-people-who-use-long-term-care26June1.pdf.

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Николай Карамзин. История государства Российского. В 12 т. М., 2017. Т. I–II.

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Фридрих Август фон Хайек. Конституция свободы / Пер. с англ. Б. Пинскера. М., 2018.

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F. A. Hayek, The Constitution of Liberty: The Definitive Edition, ed. Ronald Hamowy, vol. 17 of The Collected Works of F. A. Hayek (Abingdon, UK: Routledge, 2011 [1960]), p. 421.

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Jamie Lloyd-Smith (@jlloydsmith), «Couldn’t resist such nice data and dusted off my old code», Twitter, May 20, 2020, 12:11 a.m., https://twitter.com/jlloydsmith/status/1262989192948146176; Kai Kupferschmidt, «Why Do Some COVID-19 Patients Infect Many Others, Whereas Most Don’t Spread the Virus at All?» Science, May 19, 2020, https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/whydosome-covid19patients-infect-many-others-whereas-most-dontspread-virus-all.

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Akira Endo et al., «Estimating the Overdispersion in COVID-19 Transmission Using Outbreak Sizes Outside China», Wellcome Open Research 5, no. 67 (July 10, 2020), https://doi.org/10.12688/wellco meopenres.15842.1.

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Dillon Adam et al., «Clustering and Superspreading Potential of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV2) Infections in Hong Kong», May 21, 2020 pp. 1-27, Research Square, https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs29548/v1.

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Michael Worobey et al., «The Emergence of SARS-CoV2 in Europe and the U. S.», BioRxiv, May 23, 2020, pp. 1-26, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.21.109322; Carl Zimmer, «Coronavirus Epidemics Began Later Than Believed, Study Concludes», New York Times, May 27, 2020, https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/27/health/coronavirus-spread-united-states.html.

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Merle M. Böhmer et al., «Investigation of a COVID-19 Outbreak in Germany Resulting from a Single Travel-Associated Primary Case: A Case Series», Lancet Infectious Diseases 20, no. 8 (August 1, 2020), pp. P920 – P928, https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473–3099 (20) 303145.

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Haroon Siddique, «‘Super-Spreader’ Brought Coronavirus from Singapore to Sussex via France», Guardian, February 10, 2020, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/10/super-spreader-brought-coronavirus-from-singaporetosussex-via-france.

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Marco Hernandez, Simon Scarr, and Manas Sharma, «The Korean Clusters: How Coronavirus Cases Exploded in South Korean Churches and Hospitals», Reuters, March 20, 2020, https://graphics.reuters.com/CHINA-HEALTH-SOUTHKOREA-CLUSTERS/0100B5G33SB/index.html.

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Eric Reguly, «Italy Investigates a Hospital That Failed to Catch a Coronavirus Super-Spreader as Infection Cases Rise», Globe and Mail (Toronto), March 11, 2020, https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-italy-investigates-hospital-that-failedtocatchacoronavirus-super/.

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Carey Goldberg, «Single Conference Linked to Most Mass. Coronavirus Cases Looks Like a ‘Superspreading Event,’» WBUR News, March 12, 2020, https://www.wbur.org/commonhealth/2020/03/12/coronavirus-outbreak-biogen-conference-superspreading; Drew Karedes, «Hotel at Center of Biogen Meeting Linked to COVID-19 Outbreak in Boston Closed Indefinitely», Boston 25 News, March 12, 2020, https://www.boston25news.com/news/hotel-center-biogen-meeting-linked-covid19outbreak-boston-closed-indefinitely/B3UTQ553RBF2BLK4A7AK4T77UI/.

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Jonathan Saltzman, «Biogen Conference Likely Led to 20,00 °COVID-19 Cases in Boston Area, Researchers Say», Boston Globe, August 25, 2020, https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/08/25/business/biogen-conference-likely-led-20000-covid19cases-boston-area-researchers-say/. См. также: Jacob Lemieux et al., «Phylogenetic Analysis of SARS-CoV2 in the Boston Area Highlights the Role of Recurrent Importation and Superspreading Events», MedRxiv, August 25, 2020, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.08.23.20178236v1.

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Lea Hamner et al., «High SARS-CoV2 Attack Rate Following Exposure at a Choir Practice – Skagit County, Washington, March 2020», CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) 69, no. 19 (May 12, 2020), pp. 606–610, http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm6919e6.

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Per Block et al., «Social Network-Based Distancing Strategies to Flatten the COVID-19 Curve in