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Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Нил Фергюсон

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Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19», April 6, 2020, pp. 1-18, available at SSRN, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3550308; Kyle Meng, «Research: Working Papers», http://www.kylemeng.com/research; Qasim Bukhari and Yusuf Jameel, «Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer?» April 18, 2020, pp. 1-15, available at SSRN, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556998; Mohammad M. Sajadi et al., «Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Estimate Potential Spread and Seasonality of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)», JAMA Network Open 3, no. 6 (June 11, 2020), pp. 1-11, https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.11834.

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Cristina Menni et al., «Real-Time Tracking of Self-Reported Symptoms to Predict Potential COVID19», Nature Medicine 26 (May 11, 2020), pp. 1037–1040, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-09162; Tyler Wagner et al., «Augmented Curation of Medical Notes from a Massive EHR System Reveals Symptoms of Impending COVID-19 Diagnosis», MedRxiv, June 11, 2020, pp. 1-13, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.19.20067660.

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Henrik Salje et al., «Estimating the Burden of SARS-CoV2 in France», Science 369, no. 6500 (July 10, 2020), pp. 208–211, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc3517.

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Liu Xiaoqing et al., «COVID-19 Does Not Lead to a ‘Typical’ Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome», American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine 201, no. 10 (May 15, 2020), pp. 1299–1300, https://doi.org/10.1164/rccm.202003-0817LE.

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Derek Thompson, «COVID-19 Cases Are Rising, So Why Are Deaths Flatlining?» Atlantic, July 9, 2020, https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/07/why-covid-death-rate-down/613945/.

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Maximilian Ackermann et al., «Pulmonary Vascular Endothelialitis, Thrombosis, and Angiogenesis in COVID-19», New England Journal of Medicine (henceforth NEJM) 383 (July 9, 2020), pp. 120–128, https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2015432.

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Jennifer Beam Dowd et al., «Demographic Science Aids in Understanding the Spread and Fatality Rates of COVID-19», PNAS 117, no. 18 (May 5, 2020), pp. 9696–9698, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004911117.

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Jason Douglas and Daniel Michaels, «New Data Reveal Just How Deadly COVID-19 Is for the Elderly», Wall Street Journal, June 27, 2020, https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-data-reveal-just-how-deadly-covid19isfor-the-elderly-11593250200.

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Graziano Onder, Giovanni Rezza, and Silvio Brusaferro, «Case-Fatality Rate and Characteristics of Patients Dying in Relation to COVID-19 in Italy», JAMA 323, no. 18 (March 23, 2020), pp. 1775–1776, https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.4683; Giacomo Grasselli et al., «Baseline Characteristics and Outcomes of 1591 Patients Infected with SARS-CoV2 Admitted to ICUs of the Lombardy Region, Italy», JAMA 323, no. 16 (April 6, 2020), pp. 1574–1581, https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.5394.

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Annemarie B. Docherty et al., «Features of 16,749 Hospitalised UK Patients with COVID-19 Using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol», MedRxiv, April 28, 2020, pp. 1-21, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.23.20076042; Elizabeth Williamson et al., «OpenSAFELY: Factors Associated with COVID-19 Related Hospital Death in the Linked Electronic Health Records of 17 Million Adult NHS Patients», MedRxiv, May 7, 2020, pp. 1-22, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.06.20092999. См. также: Tom Whipple and Kat Lay, «Diabetes Sufferers Account for Quarter of Hospital Coronavirus Deaths», Times (London), May 15, 2020, https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/diabetes-sufferers-account-for-quarterofhospital-coronavirus-deaths-lpf2rnkpf.

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Petersen et al., «Comparing SARS-CoV2»; Christopher M. Petrilli et al., «Factors Associated with Hospitalization and Critical Illness Among 4,103 Patients with COVID-19 Disease in New York City», MedRxiv, April 11, 2020, pp. 1-25, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.08.20057794. См. также: Paul Overberg and Jon Kamp, «U. S. Deaths Are Up Sharply, Though COVID-19’s Precise Toll Is Murky», Wall Street Journal, May 15, 2020, https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19s-exact-tollismurky-thoughusdeaths-areupsharply-11589555652.

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Dilip DaSilva, «Introducing the Proximity Solution: A Strategy to Win the COVID-19 War», Medium, April 14, 2020, https://medium.com/@dilip.dasilva/introducing-the-proximity-solutionastrategytowin-the-covid19war-70d5d109a9fa.

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«When COVID-19 Deaths Are Analysed by Age, America Is an Outlier», Economist, June 24, 2020, https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/06/24/when-covid19deaths-are-analysedbyage-americaisanoutlier; «Adult Obesity Facts», CDC, https://www.cdc.gov/obesity/data/adult.html.

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Paolo Perini et al., «Acute Limb Ischaemia in Young, Non-Atherosclerotic Patients with COVID-19», Lancet 395, no. 10236 (May 5, 2020), p. 1546, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140–6736 (20) 310515; Alexander E. Merkler et al., «Risk of Ischemic Stroke in Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vs Patients with Influenza», JAMA Neurology, July 2, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1001/jamaneurol.2020.2730; Ariana Eujung Cha, «Young and Middle-Aged People, Barely Sick with COVID-19, Are Dying of Strokes», Washington Post, April 25, 2020, https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/04/24/strokes-coronavirus-young-patients/; Ariana Eujung Cha, «‘Frostbite’ Toes and Other Peculiar Rashes May Be Signs of Hidden Coronavirus Infection, Especially in the Young», Washington Post, April 29, 2020, https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/04/29/coronavirus-rashes-toes/.

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Chris Smith, «Coronavirus Can Harm Your Body Even If You’re

Asymptomatic», Boy Genius Report (BGR) Media, June 17, 2020, https://bgr.com/2020/06/17/coronavirus-asymptomatic-spread-virus-can-harm-lungs-immune-system/.

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Angelo Carfì et al., «Persistent Symptoms in Patients After Acute COVID-19», JAMA 324, no. 6 (July 9, 2020), pp. 603–605, https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.12603.

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Silvia Garazzino et al., «Multicentre Italian Study of SARS-CoV2 Infection in Children and Adolescents, Preliminary Data as at 10 April 2020», EuroSurveillance 25, no. 18 (May 7, 2020), https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917. ES.2020.25.18.2000600; Julie Toubiana et al., «Kawasaki-Like Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children During the COVID-19

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